Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.011130 0.013527 0.016556 0.020765 0.026632 0.034801 0.047599
2024-10-27 0.008612 0.011446 0.015549 0.022282 0.033899 0.055175 0.104003
2024-11-03 0.007395 0.010432 0.015259 0.024234 0.042700 0.086548 0.244100
2024-11-10 0.006612 0.009767 0.015171 0.026333 0.053354 0.137714 0.701711
2024-11-17 0.005784 0.008806 0.014248 0.026350 0.059467 0.190225 2.046731
2024-11-24 0.005108 0.007957 0.013288 0.025864 0.064028 0.252210 8.477631
2024-12-01 0.004433 0.006993 0.011888 0.023829 0.062372 0.282142 35.229729
2024-12-08 0.003954 0.006318 0.010937 0.022604 0.062821 0.333988 4459.744321
2024-12-15 0.003648 0.005919 0.010479 0.022512 0.067713 0.456180 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003441 0.005681 0.010316 0.023178 0.076777 0.722922 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003226 0.005400 0.010003 0.023310 0.083852 1.107968 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002976 0.005019 0.009403 0.022375 0.084542 1.408499 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002763 0.004717 0.009005 0.022200 0.091442 2.465233 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002658 0.004630 0.009114 0.023839 0.114604 10.953489 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002580 0.004585 0.009318 0.025985 0.149965 1100.889155 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002508 0.004543 0.009521 0.028304 0.199957 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002366 0.004327 0.009212 0.028322 0.224563 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002223 0.004094 0.008815 0.027785 0.240970 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.002046 0.003768 0.008110 0.025539 0.220842 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001911 0.003526 0.007618 0.024191 0.215784 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001821 0.003384 0.007396 0.024090 0.236832 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001761 0.003305 0.007343 0.024823 0.284146 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001691 0.003196 0.007186 0.024968 0.322060 NaN NaN